navber
0xbcfeb7d0f235804583f717cb5d34247adb5b2d00
- Realised P&L
- $11.39
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $329.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.79at 0.226Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?
- +$5.79at 0.540Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?
- +$1.14at 0.981Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.674Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.942Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $150 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $33.06 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8548286213 | $33.06 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $5.32 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $5.32 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999969 | $33.44 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $32.68 |
| 10-01 13:25 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $5.32 |
| 10-01 13:25 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999969 | $33.44 |
| 10-01 13:25 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $32.68 |
| 10-01 10:39 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams? | BUY | 0.9669999997 | $67.83 |
| 10-01 10:39 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 65m first week streams? | BUY | 0.0047145714 | $0.33 |
| 10-01 03:21 | Will Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies be the 2026 World Series matchup? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 10-01 03:21 | Will Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves be the 2026 World Series matchup? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 10-01 03:21 | Will Boston Red Sox advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-01 03:20 | Will Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers be the 2026 World Series matchup? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |