PolyBot

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Traders

zeitfi-vault-v2

0x6ae0f4e8332073d7287358df214ccf968579b747

Realised P&L
$945.89
Volume
$102.5k
Markets traded
2,767
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,767
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5920.716$710.74+$122.68
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat? · Yes0.9630.996$379.57+$12.42
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3020.264$261.80−$38.73
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9600.993$245.70+$8.05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9650.967$232.71+$0.27
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? · Yes0.9510.958$175.00+$1.28
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.5350.750$168.89+$48.38
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.9460.963$115.93+$2.05
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8550.994$105.59+$14.79
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? · Yes0.8220.865$104.30+$5.18
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.8300.989$96.85+$15.55
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · Yes0.9050.943$95.86+$3.86
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? · Yes0.9460.950$94.08+$0.40
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes0.8510.923$92.68+$7.28
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.760$92.58+$12.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:37Will OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.12$5.58
11-01 22:32Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.8582120471$6.96
11-01 22:27Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.8499999903$39.56
11-01 20:23Will OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.13$1.24
11-01 20:04Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.860113626$8.70
11-01 19:52Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.84$7.99
11-01 19:23Will November 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.07$1.00
11-01 19:08Will November 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.07$1.00
11-01 19:07Will November 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.08$3.88
11-01 19:02Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.9001086857$4.55
11-01 18:57Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.9001086857$4.55
11-01 18:57Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.9$43.68
11-01 18:41Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?BUY0.9401041624$16.15
11-01 16:52Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?BUY0.6999999754$14.20
11-01 13:29Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?BUY0.3299999456$1.70