PolyBot

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Traders

123987456

0x0130afd6f3efddf1c3e16e01217b172dd9befb49

Realised P&L
$19.4k
Volume
$3.26M
Markets traded
8,619
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,619
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4270.428$2.3k+$6.23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3900.385$80.31−$1.04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.2000.011$56.40−$968.98
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0000.418$54.34+$54.34
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.342$37.21+$26.31
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0770.319$36.90+$27.98
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.334$32.97+$23.10
Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? · No0.7500.699$31.55−$2.35
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? · Yes0.1670.370$18.23+$10.02
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0000.045$13.95+$13.95
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0770.111$12.80+$3.89
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0770.102$11.87+$2.96
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · No0.0700.070$11.42+$0.00
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0770.098$11.29+$2.38
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? · No0.7070.565$10.77−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?BUY0.7429999753$7.63
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,500,000 and 7,750,000?BUY0.82$8.40
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?BUY0.8969999983$9.17
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,250,000 and 7,500,000?BUY0.9899999108$9.99
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?BUY0.9299999941$9.50
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?BUY0.8399999883$8.60
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,000,000 and 7,250,000?BUY0.9979999043$9.99
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,500,000 and 8,750,000?BUY0.9799999568$9.99
09-26 08:21Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000?BUY0.998$9.99
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?BUY0.8969999965$20.11
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,250,000 and 7,500,000?BUY0.9889999998$21.90
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?BUY0.8399999982$18.86
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?BUY0.7443985229$16.77
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,000,000 and 7,250,000?BUY0.9979999898$21.90
09-26 08:08Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000?BUY0.998$21.90