123987456
0x0130afd6f3efddf1c3e16e01217b172dd9befb49
- Realised P&L
- $19.4k
- Volume
- $3.26M
- Markets traded
- 8,619
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,619
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.438Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.5kat 0.357Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$3.6kat 0.191Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.346Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.176Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000? | BUY | 0.7429999753 | $7.63 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,500,000 and 7,750,000? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.40 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000? | BUY | 0.8969999983 | $9.17 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,250,000 and 7,500,000? | BUY | 0.9899999108 | $9.99 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000? | BUY | 0.9299999941 | $9.50 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000? | BUY | 0.8399999883 | $8.60 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,000,000 and 7,250,000? | BUY | 0.9979999043 | $9.99 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,500,000 and 8,750,000? | BUY | 0.9799999568 | $9.99 |
| 09-26 08:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000? | BUY | 0.8969999965 | $20.11 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,250,000 and 7,500,000? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $21.90 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000? | BUY | 0.8399999982 | $18.86 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000? | BUY | 0.7443985229 | $16.77 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,000,000 and 7,250,000? | BUY | 0.9979999898 | $21.90 |
| 09-26 08:08 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.90 |