PolyBot

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Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.134 over the period, from 0.165. Range 0.028 to 0.165. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0374040
0.0385090
0.03910100
0.04960160
0.05084244
0.052100344
0.062500844
0.0632301,073
0.066401,113
0.067401,153
0.0695001,653
0.070401,693

Spread0.012Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0254343
0.0225497
0.01999196
0.0185202
0.015126328
0.0117501,078
0.010101,088
0.005331,121
0.0049492,070
0.0031,6493,719
0.0025,7909,509
0.00112,73922,248

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9754343
0.9785497
0.98199196
0.9825202
0.985126328
0.9897501,078
0.990101,088
0.995331,121
0.9969492,070
0.9971,6493,719
0.9985,7909,509
0.99912,73922,248

Spread0.012Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9634040
0.9625090
0.96110100
0.95160160
0.95084244
0.948100344
0.938500844
0.9372301,073
0.934401,113
0.933401,153
0.9315001,653
0.930401,693

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dpndYes478.88
2B9SYes451.06
AJSVYes376.84
bbccJYes352.51
fiterYes300
Roro22Yes226.6
Dr.PNLYes219.98
ms1910Yes207.16
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes52.78
Numitus1994Yes51.03
paprikcYes41.6
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
pppnnYes30
0x26cc…ad05Yes25
fi5hYes15
ZhouCDYes12.05
acc32Yes10
lolzzzlolYes9.7
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes7.22
velorotYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:06:36BUYYes0.035999999853$1.90
01:06:36BUYNo0.9753125$4.88
01:06:36BUYNo0.97546$44.38
01:05:48BUYNo0.97444629019$8.80
06:29:53BUYYes0.0724078623207$15.00
06:27:51SELLNo0.95570$67.04
03:55:12SELLYes0.01440$0.56
03:55:12SELLYes0.01310$0.13
20:39:36SELLYes0.02340$6.80
20:39:35SELLYes0.0309884646961$29.79
15:35:19SELLNo0.941$0.92
15:12:46SELLYes0.040$0.01
15:05:47BUYNo0.9511$10.45
15:03:55BUYNo0.946$5.64
15:03:55BUYNo0.9430$28.20
15:03:55BUYNo0.9430$28.20
15:03:20BUYNo0.92999999075$4.99
15:03:05SELLYes0.079$0.63
15:03:02BUYNo0.9317$15.81
15:03:02BUYNo0.929999998540$37.21
15:03:02BUYNo0.9310$9.30
15:03:02BUYNo0.9330$27.90
06:01:28SELLNo0.910$9.00
23:34:30BUYYes0.151$5.10
21:38:19SELLNo0.9131$28.21