PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lolzzzlol

0x7b259edf41df29db6916f9c0fdd672ddc334e4be

Realised P&L
$-44.9k
Volume
$2.55M
Markets traded
22,326
Open portfolio
$34.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded22,326
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9830.980$195.91−$0.70
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9670.964$187.72−$0.68
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8400.865$147.05+$4.25
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8000.735$147.00−$13.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7400.725$130.10−$2.69
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · No0.9710.955$125.99−$2.18
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.9210.920$105.31−$0.06
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.9480.946$94.61−$0.20
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election? · No0.8690.856$85.55−$1.35
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9710.974$77.92+$0.24
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · No0.7700.765$75.51−$0.49
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No0.8400.745$74.60−$9.51
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · No0.9210.902$54.15−$1.11
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9650.967$48.35+$0.10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.9650.966$48.27+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 22:01Will Quentin Merlin (Marseille) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?SELL0.001$0.02
09-27 21:58Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000?SELL0.27$5.95
09-27 21:54Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?SELL0.63$15.74
09-27 21:47Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.81$8.49
09-27 21:46Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitSELL0.42$21.00
09-27 21:36Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.72$13.08
09-27 21:33Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?SELL0.011$0.00
09-27 21:26Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.76$38.00
09-27 21:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.76$15.42
09-27 21:18Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 45%-50%?SELL0.06$1.26
09-27 21:10Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.29$4.93
09-27 21:09Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.47$23.85
09-27 21:02Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?SELL0.23$2.94
09-27 20:59Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?SELL0.76$11.40
09-27 20:46Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.69$27.60