fi5h
0xe450d771caa532822ccd55d5b8ce09e188fe91b9
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $123.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,197
- Open portfolio
- $950.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,197
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.85at 0.314Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$328.91at 0.987Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$312.72at 0.103Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
- +$236.71at 0.524Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
- +$192.02at 0.996Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:24 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 16:23 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 16:14 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.03 |
| 09-17 16:10 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-17 07:04 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.239 | $4.78 |
| 09-17 06:55 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 06:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:24 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.99 |
| 09-09 16:40 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $82.17 |
| 09-09 16:39 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-09 16:10 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.98 |
| 09-09 16:09 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.41 | $26.65 |
| 09-09 16:02 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 16:02 | Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |