fiter
0xf5e814660a5a5ac071390a36122e7bc7c1309fbd
- Realised P&L
- $53.4k
- Volume
- $20.82M
- Markets traded
- 3,375
- Open portfolio
- $10.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,375
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.001Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.038Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.006Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.014Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | SELL | 0.024676147 | $2.76 |
| 10-31 19:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:02 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:02 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 17:42 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 17:42 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 17:36 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.0498818 | $4.99 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.049 | $7.35 |
| 10-31 16:09 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.60 |
| 10-31 16:09 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.20 |