PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bbccJ

0x828eba773f507dc4cd702c376a49914ea61fc21b

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
756
Open portfolio
$628.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded756
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.6520.885$327.45+$86.15
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4360.700$179.91+$67.89
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.2600.090$46.21−$87.25
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1150.155$25.98+$6.74
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0440.034$18.39−$5.33
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0860.059$12.14−$5.44
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.1730.030$7.36−$35.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0330.015$3.91−$5.00
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0150.009$2.81−$1.58
Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0050.006$1.49+$0.32
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0050.005$1.36+$0.04
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.0050.007$0.97+$0.33
Sweden leading at halftime? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$36.91
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$23.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 08:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.93$93.00
09-23 08:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.93$280.40
09-23 08:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.92$55.34
09-22 23:27Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.0138366141$10.28
09-22 15:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.61802$33.99
09-22 14:00Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.26$41.46
09-22 14:00Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.69$117.30
09-22 12:56Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.0088291524$1.06
09-22 12:56Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.006$0.61
09-22 12:56Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.008$1.20
09-21 13:08Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.62$124.00
09-21 13:08Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.35$70.00
09-21 01:31Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.0177153302$3.68
09-19 13:27Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.83$34.86
09-18 14:37Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.067$2.01