bbccJ
0x828eba773f507dc4cd702c376a49914ea61fc21b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 756
- Open portfolio
- $628.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded756
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.327Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.256Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
- +$928.48at 0.139Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$812.46at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$600.70at 0.651Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 08:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-23 08:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $280.40 |
| 09-23 08:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $55.34 |
| 09-22 23:27 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0138366141 | $10.28 |
| 09-22 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.61802 | $33.99 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $41.46 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $117.30 |
| 09-22 12:56 | Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.0088291524 | $1.06 |
| 09-22 12:56 | Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.61 |
| 09-22 12:56 | Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 13:08 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 09-21 13:08 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 09-21 01:31 | Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.0177153302 | $3.68 |
| 09-19 13:27 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $34.86 |
| 09-18 14:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $2.01 |