bbccJ
0x828eba773f507dc4cd702c376a49914ea61fc21b
- Realised P&L
- $-293.19
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 668
- Open portfolio
- $453.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded668
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.326Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$933.67at 0.138Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$813.67at 0.279Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$611.75at 0.853Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$604.25at 0.651Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:59 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.83 |
| 08-04 09:33 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.64 |
| 08-04 05:06 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.26 |
| 08-04 00:44 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $42.04 |
| 08-03 14:49 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 08-03 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-03 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 00:59 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2246723993 | $24.04 |
| 08-02 03:23 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $66.82 |
| 08-02 03:22 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1603621093 | $11.65 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.93 |
| 07-31 04:32 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.689 | $328.28 |