xxxnel
0x26ccbbb508a2a27bb2ef3d1625578c0cdfb2ad05
- Realised P&L
- $2.55
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $333.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.10at 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$53.01at 0.225Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$15.42at 0.873Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$14.60at 0.124Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$14.21at 0.720Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-12 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.95 |
| 10-05 12:24 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999899 | $81.00 |
| 10-03 03:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.978 | $88.96 |
| 10-02 06:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999933 | $4.07 |
| 10-02 06:40 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 10-02 05:48 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.7299999912 | $16.50 |
| 10-02 04:46 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 09-30 10:59 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-29 12:59 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-27 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-27 00:16 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.83 |
| 09-24 15:21 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.80 |
| 09-21 07:33 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.005893015 | $0.07 |
| 09-19 04:37 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.0901164994 | $1.02 |