acc32
0x3a3099e8714178666a19bfd7e7525250426f99ec
- Realised P&L
- $417.29
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 2,898
- Open portfolio
- $146.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,898
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.63at 0.023Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$14.24at 0.006Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$11.74at 0.026Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$9.89at 0.014Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$9.82at 0.018Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 03:16 | Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.48 |
| 06-03 02:35 | Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 06-02 23:15 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 06-02 23:05 | Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 06-02 23:05 | Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 06-02 22:44 | Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 06-02 22:23 | Will Park Maeng-woo win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-02 20:28 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.12 |
| 06-02 18:33 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.23 |
| 06-02 18:02 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.29 |
| 06-02 15:57 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 06-02 15:25 | Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-02 13:52 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 06-02 13:52 | Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 06-02 12:49 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |