PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

velorot

0x660875d7c28a028368ec7d5976874f492da1a502

Realised P&L
$-396.52
Volume
$164.4k
Markets traded
3,892
Open portfolio
$54.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,892
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · No0.9771.000$5.00+$0.11
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.9800.999$4.99+$0.09
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · No0.9650.972$4.86+$0.04
Will the earnings call not air? · No0.9520.749$3.75−$1.01
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.339$2.81+$2.52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.0180.115$0.57+$0.48
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%? · Yes0.0130.110$0.55+$0.48
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 21? · Yes0.0500.100$0.50+$0.25
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? · Yes0.0280.066$0.46+$0.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 19? · Yes0.0500.080$0.40+$0.15
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election? · Yes0.0270.080$0.40+$0.27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0160.074$0.37+$0.29
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes0.0500.075$0.37+$0.12
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0360.038$0.35+$0.01
Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0380.070$0.35+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 09:02Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?SELL0.976$4.88
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 14?SELL0.18$0.18
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 14?SELL0.7$1.40
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 14?SELL0.954$1.91
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?SELL0.19$0.57
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 14?SELL0.79$2.37
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?SELL0.41$1.23
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 14?SELL0.003$0.02
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?SELL0.5271428571$3.69
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?SELL0.56$7.84
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?SELL0.65728$9.86
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14?SELL0.0998095238$2.10
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 14?SELL0.0365384615$0.95
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 14?SELL0.5102375$16.33
10-14 15:30Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14?SELL0.096$4.80