paprikc
0x909b0a90f38a3677b9c478f94d6f129627024e60
- Realised P&L
- $-47.07
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $119.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.20at 0.100Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-17.89at 0.090Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 10:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 10:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 09:32 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 09:31 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 09:28 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0497410674 | $22.11 |
| 06-20 15:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1579999711 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 15:03 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999998 | $40.00 |
| 06-20 14:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 14:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0219999895 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 14:42 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.299999955 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 14:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 14:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 14:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 14:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0420000004 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 14:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1618362637 | $10.00 |