dpnd
0x5f211a24da4c005d9438a1ea269673b85ed0b376
- Realised P&L
- $29.1k
- Volume
- $14.70M
- Markets traded
- 37,221
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded37,221
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.015Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
- +$2.0kat 0.032Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.031Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
- +$1.9kat 0.026Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:26 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.915 | $85.16 |
| 10-20 21:15 | Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? | BUY | 0.4663862467 | $22.65 |
| 10-20 21:14 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? | BUY | 0.1124390244 | $23.05 |
| 10-20 11:11 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3922222222 | $45.89 |
| 10-20 11:09 | Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8476923077 | $110.20 |
| 10-20 11:07 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | BUY | 0.4997733568 | $198.46 |
| 10-20 11:03 | Plague case in US by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $450.26 |
| 10-20 10:59 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 21:13 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft? | BUY | 0.84 | $299.64 |
| 10-19 17:01 | Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $103.20 |
| 10-19 16:41 | Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-19 16:40 | Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.7824892595 | $30.96 |
| 10-19 11:07 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | BUY | 0.4988563218 | $69.44 |
| 10-18 22:13 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? | BUY | 0.0717060612 | $23.12 |
| 10-18 15:39 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $94.69 |