Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.042. up 0.008 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.034 to 0.044. 12 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	613	613
0.043	450	1,063
0.044	5,000	6,063
0.045	12,500	18,563
0.046	17,839	36,402
0.047	17,049	53,452
0.048	25,703	79,154
0.049	31,087	110,241
0.050	22,117	132,358
0.051	3,350	135,709
0.052	7,054	142,763
0.054	100	142,863

Spread0.001Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	891	891
0.040	702	1,593
0.039	2,335	3,928
0.038	12,000	15,928
0.037	25,394	41,322
0.036	68,356	109,678
0.035	105,325	215,002
0.034	6,515	221,517
0.033	12,116	233,633
0.032	40,800	274,433
0.031	15,672	290,105
0.030	43,983	334,088

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	891	891
0.960	702	1,593
0.961	2,335	3,928
0.962	12,000	15,928
0.963	25,394	41,322
0.964	68,356	109,678
0.965	105,325	215,002
0.966	6,515	221,517
0.967	12,116	233,633
0.968	40,800	274,433
0.969	15,672	290,105
0.970	43,983	334,088

Spread0.001Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	613	613
0.957	450	1,063
0.956	5,000	6,063
0.955	12,500	18,563
0.954	17,839	36,402
0.953	17,049	53,452
0.952	25,703	79,154
0.951	31,087	110,241
0.950	22,117	132,358
0.949	3,350	135,709
0.948	7,054	142,763
0.946	100	142,863

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
classified	Yes	19,082.82
glhfgg	Yes	10,330.57
AiBird	Yes	5,000
lissartter	Yes	4,494.38
caaeth	Yes	3,699.13
pilipro3	Yes	3,400
rainbowlilies	Yes	2,200
xiaoqi1987	Yes	500
Antony82	Yes	500
Numitus1994	Yes	202
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	169.75
AJSV	Yes	99.98
Arealgood	Yes	52.31
labronzee	Yes	45.95
S888	Yes	41
big-bird1	Yes	35.25
bigdihhh888	Yes	20
abrownfox001	Yes	13.08
ghorrock	Yes	10.36
GuyFromTinder	Yes	4.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:14:39	SELL	Yes	0.04	100	$4.00
02:14:11	SELL	No	0.958	10	$9.93
02:14:09	SELL	Yes	0.04	200	$8.00
02:14:08	SELL	Yes	0.04	200	$8.00
02:14:03	SELL	No	0.958	18	$17.36
02:14:00	SELL	No	0.958	41	$39.39
02:13:59	SELL	Yes	0.0425935645	12,312	$524.43
02:13:59	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
02:13:57	BUY	No	0.96	598	$574.20
02:13:57	BUY	No	0.96	101	$96.96
00:16:59	BUY	Yes	0.045	2,400	$108.00
00:08:45	SELL	No	0.954	200	$190.80
00:08:38	BUY	Yes	0.045156475	400	$18.06
00:08:38	BUY	Yes	0.0447126993	10,331	$461.91
23:14:50	BUY	Yes	0.044	1,800	$79.20
23:07:41	SELL	No	0.956	280	$267.68
23:07:09	SELL	No	0.956	1,952	$1866.14
23:05:05	BUY	Yes	0.044	400	$17.60
23:05:05	BUY	Yes	0.0418055556	7,200	$301.00
21:54:32	BUY	No	0.9619998912	6	$6.05
21:53:11	SELL	No	0.96	2	$1.92
21:52:40	BUY	No	0.962	9	$8.55
21:52:40	SELL	No	0.96	2	$1.92
21:52:40	SELL	No	0.96	6	$5.76
21:52:25	BUY	No	0.9619999796	5	$4.71