caaeth
0x2f76fc670a0bc97cdcbe20823a20dab70f357bcc
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $279.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.199US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$469.07at 0.540Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$458.92at 0.223Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$201.42at 0.651Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$81.99at 0.089Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 16:51 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $540.00 |
| 10-12 10:12 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.0064129518 | $55.17 |
| 10-12 09:53 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.1114208059 | $384.53 |
| 10-12 09:52 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.011 | $43.14 |
| 10-12 09:31 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.018 | $24.74 |
| 10-12 09:31 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.017 | $46.75 |
| 10-12 09:04 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.022574364 | $56.44 |
| 10-12 08:36 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0687949979 | $68.79 |
| 10-12 08:12 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.021 | $10.61 |
| 10-12 08:11 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $90.00 |
| 10-12 08:11 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.022 | $46.43 |
| 10-12 05:34 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 10-12 05:33 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.027595575 | $33.11 |
| 10-12 05:32 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.026 | $29.90 |
| 10-12 01:21 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.113 | $57.07 |