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Traders

caaeth

0x2f76fc670a0bc97cdcbe20823a20dab70f357bcc

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$279.3k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.983$2.2k+$1.1k
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.980$2.0k+$959.00
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9920.996$895.95+$3.15
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.967$483.24+$68.25
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9800.980$203.49−$0.10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9480.984$107.20+$3.87
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9400.962$50.00+$1.12
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.021$41.00−$959.00
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$138.16
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$63.00
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? · Yes0.5370.000$0.00−$53.70
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$78.78
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$213.86
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$25.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 16:51US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.06$540.00
10-12 10:12US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.0064129518$55.17
10-12 09:53Will there be no Hormuz agreement?SELL0.1114208059$384.53
10-12 09:52US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.011$43.14
10-12 09:31US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.018$24.74
10-12 09:31US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.017$46.75
10-12 09:04US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.022574364$56.44
10-12 08:36Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.0687949979$68.79
10-12 08:12US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.021$10.61
10-12 08:11US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.06$90.00
10-12 08:11US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.022$46.43
10-12 05:34US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.07$70.00
10-12 05:33US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.027595575$33.11
10-12 05:32US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.026$29.90
10-12 01:21Will there be no Hormuz agreement?SELL0.113$57.07
Trader caaeth · PolyBot Pro