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Traders

themagicofcinema

0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b

Realised P&L
$46.4k
Volume
$6.28M
Markets traded
985
Open portfolio
$174.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded985
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? · Yes0.0090.007$64.13−$12.83
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? · Yes0.0110.006$44.52−$28.04
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.2210.136$19.04−$11.90
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0360.016$15.57−$19.93
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.2800.255$9.13−$0.90
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0400.044$5.08+$0.46
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? · Yes0.0030.004$4.87+$0.70
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0090.011$2.82+$0.61
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.2370.021$2.12−$21.29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.175$1.07+$0.09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? · Yes0.0030.004$1.06+$0.35
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? · Yes0.0020.006$1.05+$0.72
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0030.004$0.90+$0.30
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0020.004$0.83+$0.35
Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO? · Yes0.1900.025$0.75−$4.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:58Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.25$619.34
11-01 01:32U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.0600410398$1.57
11-01 01:23U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.06$24.00
11-01 01:17U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.2492592593$134.60
10-31 22:29Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.8$89.42
10-31 22:00Israeli Knesset election annulled?SELL0.9564374372$1.1k
10-31 21:59Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?SELL0.77$4.0k
10-31 21:54Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.7566601185$376.70
10-31 08:45Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.991$3.8k
10-31 08:45Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?SELL0.9653645251$1.2k
10-31 08:04Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?SELL0.0075719807$27.10
10-31 07:30Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.78$20.5k
10-31 07:29Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.2212017097$4.5k
10-31 07:21Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.87$697.75
10-31 07:01Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.76$4.4k