themagicofcinema
0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b
- Realised P&L
- $46.4k
- Volume
- $6.28M
- Markets traded
- 985
- Open portfolio
- $174.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded985
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.7kat 0.064Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
- +$33.4kat 0.230Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.664US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$5.0kat 0.006US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
- +$4.7kat 0.371Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $619.34 |
| 11-01 01:32 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.0600410398 | $1.57 |
| 11-01 01:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 11-01 01:17 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.2492592593 | $134.60 |
| 10-31 22:29 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $89.42 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | SELL | 0.9564374372 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 21:59 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.0k |
| 10-31 21:54 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.7566601185 | $376.70 |
| 10-31 08:45 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.991 | $3.8k |
| 10-31 08:45 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | SELL | 0.9653645251 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 08:04 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | SELL | 0.0075719807 | $27.10 |
| 10-31 07:30 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $20.5k |
| 10-31 07:29 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2212017097 | $4.5k |
| 10-31 07:21 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.87 | $697.75 |
| 10-31 07:01 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.4k |