AiBird
0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8
- Realised P&L
- $145.1k
- Volume
- $259.52M
- Markets traded
- 10,715
- Open portfolio
- $20.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,715
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$459.1kat 0.037Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$182.0kat 0.009No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$119.0kat 0.016No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
- +$103.4kat 0.015No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
- +$45.2kat 0.023Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:47 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5005207916 | $299.95 |
| 09-17 10:04 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.86 |
| 09-17 10:01 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $16.52 |
| 09-17 09:58 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 09:57 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.370487329 | $151.90 |
| 09-17 09:57 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3675120773 | $152.15 |
| 09-17 09:24 | Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $77.76 |
| 09-17 09:23 | Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $68.97 |
| 09-17 08:20 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2584524096 | $53.68 |
| 09-17 08:11 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | SELL | 0.7758328411 | $105.08 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $65.68 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.1816891892 | $6.45 |
| 09-17 08:06 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.2902216428 | $44.52 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.382972973 | $28.34 |
| 09-17 07:30 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |