AiBird
0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8
- Realised P&L
- $120.8k
- Volume
- $261.58M
- Markets traded
- 11,592
- Open portfolio
- $23.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,592
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.5kat 0.054Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$21.8kat 0.001Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$14.0kat 0.003Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
- +$11.5kat 0.061Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$10.6kat 0.081Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:06 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.1265843621 | $46.14 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.3866666667 | $116.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6865846637 | $524.69 |
| 11-01 22:34 | Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1814599004 | $68.51 |
| 11-01 22:33 | Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.204923339 | $60.14 |
| 11-01 22:26 | Tusk out by December 31? | SELL | 0.0752 | $6.47 |
| 11-01 22:20 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $142.09 |
| 11-01 22:18 | Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.2381432135 | $427.72 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | SELL | 0.7838086835 | $213.20 |
| 11-01 14:30 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? | SELL | 0.6590909091 | $145.00 |
| 11-01 14:30 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5513636364 | $121.30 |
| 11-01 14:25 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5265753425 | $192.20 |
| 11-01 14:25 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $204.00 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $64.60 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $104.88 |