xiaoqi1987
0x9ac6e0879889554ec15065f743039e291900082d
- Realised P&L
- $-538.20
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $16.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.033 | $16.25 | −$9.25 |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.62at 0.550Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.860Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$1.00at 0.040Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
- +$1.00at 0.080GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.99at 0.250Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:25 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $195.00 |
| 09-24 09:02 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $8.63 |
| 09-23 17:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.579 | $200.47 |
| 09-22 00:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $304.00 |
| 09-17 01:27 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 09-14 02:59 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 05:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 09-08 13:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $53.60 |
| 09-08 13:30 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.66 | $79.20 |
| 09-08 01:40 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.71 | $50.87 |
| 09-06 11:58 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 09-04 12:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.2585224242 | $42.66 |
| 09-04 12:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $9.45 |
| 09-04 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-04 03:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.014 | $0.70 |