0x888888888
0x1583c5d3f2b55b3ec71c599c6b90d328d49cbdde
- Realised P&L
- $-15.1k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 2,177
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,177
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.7kat 0.502Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET
- +$6.7kat 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET
- +$4.1kat 0.482Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- +$2.2kat 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:45 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.556999998 | $11.20 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.7899999906 | $16.00 |
| 09-17 21:48 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.3699999917 | $7.60 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $384.00 |
| 09-17 21:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $324.00 |
| 09-17 21:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $22.00 |
| 09-17 21:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.99 |
| 09-17 21:17 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4940617577 | $41.60 |
| 09-17 20:51 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $16.00 |
| 09-17 20:37 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.094603005 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 20:25 | Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.1199999993 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.8499999975 | $17.20 |
| 09-17 20:14 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.24 |
| 09-17 20:12 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8973618756 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 19:59 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9719999986 | $49.50 |