0x888888888
0x1583c5d3f2b55b3ec71c599c6b90d328d49cbdde
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $648.7k
- Markets traded
- 572
- Open portfolio
- $66.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded572
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.194 | $8.38 | −$21.47 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.038 | $0.53 | −$6.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 06:59 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 07-27 06:58 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | SELL | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 07-27 06:58 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-27 06:57 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 07-27 06:57 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-27 06:57 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 07-27 06:56 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 07-27 06:56 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.24 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.65 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 11:13 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |