PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

rainbowlilies

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea

Realised P&L
$169.6k
Volume
$86.14M
Markets traded
10,047
Open portfolio
$60.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,047
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:21US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9680298286$677.62
11-01 20:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.962$2.9k
11-01 20:31Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.001$0.04
11-01 20:29Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.001$2.00
11-01 20:29Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.001$0.23
11-01 08:12Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.92$690.00
11-01 07:51US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9454430143$1.3k
11-01 05:43Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?SELL0.001$0.08
10-31 20:24Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0019915279$0.61
10-30 17:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?SELL0.007$2.10
10-30 00:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.75$7.73
10-29 20:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.6384225$2.6k
10-29 20:16Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.91$182.91
10-29 20:01Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$120.76
10-29 19:28Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$2.09