PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rainbowlilies

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea

Realised P&L
$376.6k
Volume
$64.88M
Markets traded
8,478
Open portfolio
$60.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,478
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:42Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.002$23.11
08-02 21:31Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.078$27.05
08-01 15:24Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:24Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:21Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:19Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:19Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:18Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:18Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:18Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:17Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:17Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
08-01 15:17Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$5.04
07-29 01:04Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.089$3.36
07-28 23:09Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0151443534$3.12