rainbowlilies
0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea
- Realised P&L
- $376.6k
- Volume
- $64.88M
- Markets traded
- 8,478
- Open portfolio
- $60.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,478
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.4kat 0.410Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$75.9kat 0.409Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$70.5kat 0.333Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$38.9kat 0.147Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$32.1kat 0.722Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:42 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.002 | $23.11 |
| 08-02 21:31 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.078 | $27.05 |
| 08-01 15:24 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:24 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.04 |
| 07-29 01:04 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.089 | $3.36 |
| 07-28 23:09 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0151443534 | $3.12 |