Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?

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Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-12

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.265 over the period, from 0.315. Range 0.023 to 0.435. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.056	21	21
0.057	12	33
0.058	12	45
0.059	12	57
0.060	17	74
0.061	17	92
0.062	17	109
0.065	120	229
0.069	134	363
0.070	728	1,091
0.174	948	2,039
0.175	88	2,126

Spread0.011Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.045	31	31
0.023	6	37
0.022	46	83
0.021	13	95
0.020	92	187
0.017	8	196
0.016	76	272
0.015	191	462
0.014	53	516
0.013	352	867
0.012	2,107	2,974
0.011	4,599	7,574

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.955	31	31
0.977	6	37
0.978	46	83
0.979	13	95
0.980	92	187
0.983	8	196
0.984	76	272
0.985	191	462
0.986	53	516
0.987	352	867
0.988	2,107	2,974
0.989	4,599	7,574

Spread0.011Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.944	21	21
0.943	12	33
0.942	12	45
0.941	12	57
0.940	17	74
0.939	17	92
0.938	17	109
0.935	120	229
0.931	134	363
0.930	728	1,091
0.826	948	2,039
0.825	88	2,126

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	1,874.4
George.Smiley	Yes	1,022.83
Numitus1994	Yes	728.92
molodoyy	Yes	623
HerrieDavis	Yes	561.05
LornaPredicts	Yes	478
qqqmmmccc	Yes	421.33
flywheelpoly	Yes	381.56
0x428f…98f0	Yes	324.55
e46m3	Yes	261.02
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	223.73
kamsai	Yes	219.51
rocky42013	Yes	208.32
ief	Yes	200
dgfd76	Yes	131.58
oxyqste	Yes	111.31
lightsout912	Yes	100
PITON2026	Yes	90
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	87.5
Knowyourball	Yes	83.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:02:22	BUY	Yes	0.056	11	$0.60
09:42:00	BUY	No	0.955	10	$9.55
09:41:48	BUY	No	0.955	6	$5.73
09:40:55	BUY	No	0.955	16	$15.28
08:43:13	BUY	Yes	0.059	22	$1.27
08:29:54	BUY	No	0.954	5	$4.77
08:29:54	BUY	No	0.954	10	$9.54
07:31:34	BUY	Yes	0.057	10	$0.57
07:31:16	BUY	Yes	0.057	10	$0.57
07:14:13	BUY	Yes	0.057	10	$0.57
07:14:04	BUY	Yes	0.058	10	$0.58
07:13:10	BUY	Yes	0.058088423	11	$0.64
07:13:07	BUY	Yes	0.057	15	$0.85
07:07:46	BUY	Yes	0.058	15	$0.87
07:06:03	BUY	Yes	0.059	10	$0.59
07:03:19	BUY	Yes	0.06	15	$0.90
06:16:30	BUY	Yes	0.062	18	$1.12
06:15:33	BUY	Yes	0.05616	20	$1.12
05:36:13	BUY	Yes	0.046	20	$0.92
23:45:02	SELL	Yes	0.046	33	$1.50
22:57:41	BUY	No	0.954	10	$9.54
20:31:17	BUY	Yes	0.056	200	$11.20
19:41:53	BUY	Yes	0.055	20	$1.10
19:41:45	BUY	Yes	0.055	30	$1.65
19:41:36	BUY	Yes	0.054513493	132	$7.17