PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

qqqmmmccc

0x6d72f7e301387efd393a93d4d92c40f0230fa399

Realised P&L
$6.1k
Volume
$346.4k
Markets traded
4,940
Open portfolio
$31.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,940
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4170.790$3.8k+$1.8k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3070.360$1.6k+$241.13
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.2250.355$1.6k+$590.95
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1630.185$1.3k+$160.33
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1120.181$1.1k+$413.31
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3780.545$990.30+$303.89
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? · No0.3880.705$915.73+$411.72
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6500.445$881.54$406.11
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5060.750$879.92+$286.17
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2090.280$833.00+$209.88
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.4100.904$730.06+$398.81
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8190.850$671.62+$24.40
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3300.645$645.00+$315.00
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? · No0.5390.745$614.55+$169.88
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.2300.445$602.30+$290.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:01Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.9$67.50
09-13 12:38Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.91$4.55
09-13 11:11Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.93$242.73
09-13 09:09Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.92$29.90
09-13 09:08Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.9328461538$242.54
09-13 07:04Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.8656743935$432.46
09-13 07:04Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.87$52.73
09-13 00:32Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.0731578947$13.90
09-13 00:32Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.047125$3.77
09-13 00:25Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.0855841584$21.61
09-12 20:22Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.9093278102$541.11
09-12 17:55Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.86$17.20
09-12 17:31Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.91$304.82
09-12 16:27Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.866772009$19.20
09-12 16:17Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.887$44.35