0x428f34e83e150a4969c25b5c2a7f7ffe2cd298f0
- Realised P&L
- $-21.67
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.06at 0.550Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$7.00at 0.700Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.57at 0.330Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 03:12 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 23:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0119999892 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 23:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.40 |
| 08-04 23:07 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999645 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999741 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 22:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999748 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 22:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999686 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0971671406 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 22:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1089999906 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 22:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0679999927 | $8.30 |
| 08-04 22:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0380000012 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 22:48 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999748 | $1.10 |
| 07-31 14:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $42.73 |
| 07-19 22:14 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999977 | $23.67 |
| 07-19 21:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.060999982 | $3.00 |