PolyBot

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Traders

PITON2026

0x2142e247d307bea9d271b62d90f4c434bf366b8c

Realised P&L
$491.82
Volume
$79.6k
Markets traded
1,427
Open portfolio
$101.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,427
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0700.065$32.50−$2.50
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1880.105$15.42−$12.14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2027? · No0.3900.460$4.60+$0.70
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1150.070$3.52−$2.22
Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0030.082$3.28+$3.16
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat? · Yes0.0160.025$1.72+$0.59
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.015$1.55+$0.45
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.0200.275$1.38+$1.27
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.013$1.35+$0.25
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? · Yes0.0020.003$1.25+$0.25
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0080.009$1.24+$0.20
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.012$1.20+$0.10
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.029$1.18+$0.90
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0120.011$1.15−$0.05
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0860.099$1.15+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:50Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-04 House seat?BUY0.055$1.10
11-01 07:49Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?BUY0.0139375$1.11
11-01 07:48Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?BUY0.016$1.12
11-01 07:45Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?BUY0.0321424501$1.13
11-01 07:40Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.009$0.90
11-01 07:40Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.71$3.55
11-01 07:39U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.02$2.00
11-01 07:37U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.01$0.17
10-31 08:44Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?BUY0.047$0.64
10-31 08:37Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$1.10
10-31 08:37Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$1.10
10-31 08:37Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.012$1.20
10-31 07:45Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.14$1.40
10-31 07:45Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.036$1.08
10-31 07:45Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.017$1.02