PITON2026
0x2142e247d307bea9d271b62d90f4c434bf366b8c
- Realised P&L
- $491.82
- Volume
- $79.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,427
- Open portfolio
- $101.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,427
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.31at 0.020Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$94.30at 0.020Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?
- +$72.57at 0.030Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
- +$71.76at 0.116Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$52.77at 0.036Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 07:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat? | BUY | 0.0139375 | $1.11 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.12 |
| 11-01 07:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.0321424501 | $1.13 |
| 11-01 07:40 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 11-01 07:40 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 11-01 07:39 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 07:37 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.17 |
| 10-31 08:44 | Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? | BUY | 0.047 | $0.64 |
| 10-31 08:37 | Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 08:37 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 08:37 | Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 07:45 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-31 07:45 | Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.08 |
| 10-31 07:45 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.02 |