George.Smiley
0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850
- Realised P&L
- $49.8k
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.5kat 0.663Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
- +$15.7kat 0.525Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$9.0kat 0.861Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
- +$8.3kat 0.843Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
- +$5.2kat 0.763Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:01 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $349.20 |
| 09-07 21:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $980.76 |
| 08-13 17:04 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9871205035 | $561.45 |
| 08-13 17:04 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9898275862 | $574.10 |
| 08-05 22:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.6666672222 | $399.99 |
| 07-07 12:16 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $43.70 |
| 06-24 07:11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9596961759 | $1.4k |
| 06-21 22:41 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.1k |
| 06-21 22:26 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.2k |
| 06-21 20:48 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5958254901 | $1.6k |
| 06-21 09:12 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8346472817 | $2.2k |
| 06-21 09:11 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8076398288 | $5.0k |
| 06-21 08:45 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6767644943 | $2.5k |
| 06-20 22:54 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599498347 | $1.3k |
| 06-19 16:26 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4769795184 | $5.5k |