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Traders

George.Smiley

0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850

Realised P&L
$51.8k
Volume
$1.75M
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.8610.592$888.00$404.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.495$648.40+$150.64
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? · No0.5300.755$472.13+$140.94
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? · No0.9300.920$460.00$5.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.510$443.70$52.20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.3170.069$431.85$1.6k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1660.103$310.50$187.50
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? · No0.7010.603$301.25$49.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3090.182$292.00$202.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.3470.085$238.00$733.99
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · No0.8500.925$235.44+$19.21
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? · Yes0.0200.077$155.00+$115.00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.4080.352$35.20$5.60
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? · Yes0.0100.019$19.95+$9.72
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0200.013$19.73$10.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 22:35Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.6666672222$399.99
07-07 12:16Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?BUY0.58$43.70
06-24 07:11Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9596961759$1.4k
06-21 22:41Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.85$1.1k
06-21 22:26Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.84$2.2k
06-21 20:48Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.5958254901$1.6k
06-21 09:12Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.8346472817$2.2k
06-21 09:11Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.8076398288$5.0k
06-21 08:45Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.6767644943$2.5k
06-20 22:54Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.6599498347$1.3k
06-19 16:26Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4769795184$5.5k
06-04 22:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?BUY0.16$70.44
06-04 22:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?BUY0.0765662641$93.06
06-04 14:03Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?SELL0.13$32.72
06-04 14:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?SELL0.08$92.52