lightsout912
0x7e1d3cb44c3f2a6ec9abc667820ee2645bd44d41
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $210.3k
- Markets traded
- 678
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded678
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$910.59at 0.022Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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- +$320.00at 0.680Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$220.78at 0.473Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
- +$219.63at 0.743Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:38 | Will there be no next Grok model (4.7+) release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.48 |
| 09-17 22:27 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.202561 | $4.05 |
| 09-14 22:59 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9749024834 | $493.47 |
| 09-13 02:07 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $78.44 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.298366 | $59.67 |
| 09-12 13:49 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3775232198 | $121.94 |
| 09-12 11:10 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $51.10 |
| 09-12 02:11 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 01:54 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $36.16 |
| 09-12 01:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $8.50 |
| 09-11 21:48 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.95 | $608.00 |
| 09-11 19:07 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $156.20 |
| 09-11 10:40 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $58.80 |
| 09-09 19:23 | Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.06 | $3.60 |