PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ief

0xbd5f04ea460b2f31eeee8f4259d05c8d978d38b9

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$67.0k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$418.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2720.407$407.49+$135.76
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0220.007$8.62−$16.38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0220.002$2.05−$27.95
US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng · Yunchaokete Bu0.3800.000$0.00−$228.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$55.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.1950.000$0.00−$97.50
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$10.35
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton · Adam Walton0.1260.000$0.00−$120.00
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng · Iga Swiatek0.4400.000$0.00−$110.00
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:37Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5SELL0.2722317625$217.79
09-26 20:49Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.267$32.04
09-26 20:23Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.76$760.00
09-26 20:21Will England win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.05$100.00
09-26 20:10Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.35$350.00
09-26 19:16Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.272$38.08
09-26 18:58England vs. Spain: O/U 3.5BUY0.52$102.66
09-20 16:11Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?SELL0.0843319737$43.83
09-09 06:53Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.45$138.60
09-07 17:34Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.048$1.68
09-07 16:55Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.091$14.63
09-03 16:05US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.08$100.00
09-02 19:04US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete BuSELL0.89365$357.46
09-02 19:02US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete BuBUY0.1$40.00
09-02 18:14US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete BuBUY0.5$200.00
Trader ief · PolyBot Pro