rocky42013
0xf9712c6d06a0e6527ae7f85c9d540158e1a40a57
- Realised P&L
- $-12.2k
- Volume
- $10.79M
- Markets traded
- 7,166
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,166
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.355Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?
- +$1.6kat 0.266Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
- +$1.5kat 0.182Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik
- +$1.5kat 0.117Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
- +$1.3kat 0.251Heat vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:57 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 10-31 12:13 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $22.77 |
| 10-30 17:25 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30? | SELL | 0.81 | $64.80 |
| 10-30 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-30 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.48 |
| 10-28 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.15 |
| 10-28 19:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $50.60 |
| 10-23 18:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $36.96 |
| 10-23 17:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 10-20 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.14 |
| 10-20 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21? | SELL | 0.5 | $41.50 |
| 10-20 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.20 |
| 10-19 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 10-18 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-18 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |