rocky42013
0xf9712c6d06a0e6527ae7f85c9d540158e1a40a57
- Realised P&L
- $-10.9k
- Volume
- $10.57M
- Markets traded
- 6,651
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,651
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.355Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?
- +$1.6kat 0.266Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
- +$1.5kat 0.182Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik
- +$1.5kat 0.117Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
- +$1.3kat 0.251Heat vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.55 | $114.40 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September? | SELL | 0.881 | $8.81 |
| 09-17 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.5 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 23:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | SELL | 0.45 | $20.70 |
| 09-16 13:22 | Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.94 |
| 09-16 05:38 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.929 | $176.51 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.591 | $96.33 |
| 09-15 22:02 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.591 | $144.20 |
| 09-15 13:20 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $43.07 |
| 09-14 21:30 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.245 | $4.41 |
| 09-14 00:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 09-14 00:26 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | SELL | 0.52 | $99.84 |
| 09-13 12:58 | Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 09-12 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-10 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |