PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.07 to 0.25. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.129797
0.13469566
0.1450616
0.154901,106
0.1651,111
0.18681,179
0.193001,479
0.25591,537
0.262601,797
0.27111,808
0.3071,816
0.35681,883

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1155
0.102227
0.09683710
0.085921,301
0.071,0692,371
0.064,4026,773
0.0516,51823,291
0.0416823,459
0.0383624,294
0.0285025,144
0.016,77731,921

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8955
0.902227
0.91683710
0.925921,301
0.931,0692,371
0.944,4026,773
0.9516,51823,291
0.9616823,459
0.9783624,294
0.9885025,144
0.996,77731,921

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.889797
0.87469566
0.8650616
0.854901,106
0.8451,111
0.82681,179
0.813001,479
0.75591,537
0.742601,797
0.73111,808
0.7071,816
0.65681,883

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
notssf3Yes24,899.44
Contentious-DinnerdateYes3,370.49
HerrieDavisYes3,176.43
rewardbotsYes2,167.74
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes2,094.54
moustaYes1,625
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes1,366.09
BikesAreTheBikesYes1,038.17
KiruaTradingYes1,000
troimYes999.96
LornaPredictsYes714.34
gambler925Yes707.7
cigarettesYes545.38
nhuaormallfensYes498.63
thursdaysYes474.04
AJSVYes350.53
robert-mukhametovYes321.92
Elias.ThornwellYes279.45
rocky42024Yes276.78
PeryperyYes250

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:07:02SELLNo0.885$4.40
01:06:23SELLNo0.89700$623.01
15:10:52SELLNo0.91$0.52
11:02:44BUYYes0.089999999520$1.79
11:02:44BUYYes0.092$0.15
08:07:48BUYYes0.0962$5.54
07:02:12BUYYes0.09100$9.00
07:02:12BUYYes0.089999999520$1.79
05:34:50SELLYes0.085$0.40
05:34:45SELLYes0.093,445$310.01
23:23:58SELLYes0.092,151$193.59
22:55:09BUYYes0.1113$1.45
19:46:10BUYNo0.889999999731$27.37
19:32:45BUYNo0.897$5.84
18:37:33BUYYes0.13150$19.50
18:27:12BUYNo0.889999979422$19.47
18:26:36BUYNo0.889999992677$68.45
18:26:25BUYNo0.889999951518$15.79
18:25:54BUYNo0.889999992677$68.45
17:24:57SELLNo0.8820$17.60
17:24:48SELLNo0.8816622435803$707.61
15:32:22BUYNo0.929$26.30
15:32:12BUYNo0.962$55.38
15:31:43SELLNo0.896$5.44
15:31:42SELLNo0.8952$45.92