troim
0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
- Realised P&L
- $68.2k
- Volume
- $28.55M
- Markets traded
- 1,117
- Open portfolio
- $57.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,117
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.9kat 0.528US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.6kat 0.476Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$18.6kat 0.973Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$15.2kat 0.004MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.7kat 0.993MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.24 |
| 08-21 00:47 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours? | SELL | 0.45 | $187.71 |
| 08-21 00:43 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours? | BUY | 0.083 | $1.97 |
| 08-21 00:36 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | BUY | 0.2 | $232.71 |
| 08-21 00:36 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours? | BUY | 0.0566445375 | $43.94 |
| 08-20 23:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $140.00 |
| 08-20 23:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $57.92 |
| 08-20 21:58 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.903 | $586.95 |
| 08-20 21:55 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $207.87 |
| 08-20 15:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $76.38 |
| 08-20 14:36 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $399.00 |
| 08-20 14:36 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2984151895 | $93.44 |
| 08-20 14:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $105.34 |
| 08-20 14:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.258 | $2.58 |
| 08-20 14:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.9k |