PolyBot

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Traders

troim

0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20

Realised P&L
$92.8k
Volume
$30.32M
Markets traded
1,285
Open portfolio
$93.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,285
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:23Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8120768167$317.15
11-01 04:00Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?SELL0.93$465.00
11-01 03:59Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.8965$1.8k
11-01 03:58Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.95$570.00
11-01 03:56Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.4358771267$230.58
11-01 03:52Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?BUY0.412875$412.88
11-01 03:51Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.83$435.75
11-01 03:50Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7465623423$88.74
11-01 03:49Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5366666667$80.50
11-01 03:49Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?BUY0.7613142391$167.99
11-01 03:47Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?BUY0.46$91.13
11-01 00:55Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$3.3k
10-31 09:26Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.21$162.30
10-31 08:04Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.25$67.25
10-30 01:26Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.47$2.4k