troim
0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
- Realised P&L
- $92.8k
- Volume
- $30.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,285
- Open portfolio
- $93.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.9kat 0.528US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.6kat 0.476Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$18.6kat 0.973Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$15.2kat 0.004MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.7kat 0.993MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:23 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.8120768167 | $317.15 |
| 11-01 04:00 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.8965 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 03:58 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $570.00 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4358771267 | $230.58 |
| 11-01 03:52 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.412875 | $412.88 |
| 11-01 03:51 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.83 | $435.75 |
| 11-01 03:50 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7465623423 | $88.74 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5366666667 | $80.50 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470? | BUY | 0.7613142391 | $167.99 |
| 11-01 03:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.46 | $91.13 |
| 11-01 00:55 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 09:26 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $162.30 |
| 10-31 08:04 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $67.25 |
| 10-30 01:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.4k |