mousta
0x9b0e40bca7f3f3d83005794f73eca37674d29f5f
- Realised P&L
- $-412.72
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $742.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.058 | $373.67 | −$1.2k |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.769 | 0.180 | $292.50 | −$956.78 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.503 | 0.725 | $76.13 | +$23.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-38.11at 0.040Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
- +$-81.62at 0.559Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
- +$-292.99at 0.069Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:34 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399230601 | $1.6k |
| 09-30 20:32 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.98 |
| 09-30 20:31 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0167284943 | $93.33 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0661160131 | $368.87 |
| 09-30 19:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4133383333 | $217.69 |
| 09-30 18:54 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0382892749 | $37.61 |
| 09-30 09:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5487136157 | $288.99 |
| 09-29 17:23 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7687897846 | $1.2k |
| 09-29 14:40 | Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5033333333 | $52.85 |