PolyBot

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Traders

notssf3

0x5a7b3328e8756579bfd364ba92c5c589c7bae9eb

Realised P&L
$72.9k
Volume
$2.99M
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$145.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8390.825$21.9k−$382.47
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.992$15.7k+$815.20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6910.585$10.2k−$1.8k
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.980$9.8k+$795.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.977$9.8k+$965.20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.805$5.9k+$109.63
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.984$5.8k+$490.33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.705$4.7k+$433.22
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.988$4.6k+$362.48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8190.563$4.6k−$2.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.985$4.2k+$360.98
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.995$4.2k+$167.05
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.2200.725$3.4k+$2.4k
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.4160.175$2.9k−$4.0k
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8980.410$2.9k−$3.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 16:44Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7339894682$1.6k
10-26 16:40Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.22$0.14
10-26 16:40Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.36$212.75
10-26 16:39Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?SELL0.3472897793$543.60
10-26 16:39Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.46$10.90
10-26 16:39Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.47$38.87
10-26 16:38Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.88$34.48
10-26 16:38Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9798274757$2.4k
10-26 16:38Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$97.80
10-26 16:36Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.995$763.56
10-22 08:11Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0521869791$310.09
10-21 06:42Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$3.20
10-21 06:42Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.79$5.8k
10-20 17:02Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5BUY0.73$219.00
10-20 12:08Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.3302085506$316.67