notssf3
0x5a7b3328e8756579bfd364ba92c5c589c7bae9eb
- Realised P&L
- $82.3k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $105.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.7kat 0.871Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$12.8kat 0.150Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$10.1kat 0.361Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.3kat 0.216Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
- +$7.8kat 0.651Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 13:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $74.54 |
| 09-13 13:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1427754768 | $673.94 |
| 09-12 18:45 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $412.27 |
| 09-12 18:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $91.98 |
| 09-12 18:44 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $26.81 |
| 09-12 18:44 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1051700547 | $544.05 |
| 09-09 16:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $147.35 |
| 09-09 13:33 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.04 |
| 09-09 13:32 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $864.85 |
| 09-07 18:52 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $118.96 |
| 09-07 18:45 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $111.89 |
| 09-07 18:44 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.25 |
| 09-03 16:33 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $23.77 |
| 09-03 16:33 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $116.84 |
| 09-03 16:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $349.74 |