notssf3
0x5a7b3328e8756579bfd364ba92c5c589c7bae9eb
- Realised P&L
- $72.9k
- Volume
- $2.99M
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $145.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.7kat 0.871Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$12.8kat 0.150Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$10.1kat 0.361Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.3kat 0.216Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
- +$7.8kat 0.651Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:44 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7339894682 | $1.6k |
| 10-26 16:40 | Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.14 |
| 10-26 16:40 | Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $212.75 |
| 10-26 16:39 | Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3472897793 | $543.60 |
| 10-26 16:39 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.90 |
| 10-26 16:39 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $38.87 |
| 10-26 16:38 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.88 | $34.48 |
| 10-26 16:38 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9798274757 | $2.4k |
| 10-26 16:38 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.978 | $97.80 |
| 10-26 16:36 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.995 | $763.56 |
| 10-22 08:11 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0521869791 | $310.09 |
| 10-21 06:42 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-21 06:42 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.8k |
| 10-20 17:02 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $219.00 |
| 10-20 12:08 | Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3302085506 | $316.67 |