PolyBot

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Traders

notssf3

0x5a7b3328e8756579bfd364ba92c5c589c7bae9eb

Realised P&L
$82.3k
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$105.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.984$15.6k+$688.57
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6910.685$11.9k$110.63
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.970$9.7k+$895.19
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.966$9.7k+$655.00
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.976$5.7k+$443.36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8190.635$5.2k$1.5k
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.966$4.5k+$261.92
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.970$4.1k+$299.14
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.986$4.1k+$127.37
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.2200.645$3.0k+$2.0k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5750.525$2.8k$264.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes0.0570.122$2.7k+$1.4k
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.979$2.6k+$129.12
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$2.4k$199.77
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8410.974$2.1k+$291.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 13:26Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$74.54
09-13 13:22Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1427754768$673.94
09-12 18:45Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.76$412.27
09-12 18:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$91.98
09-12 18:44Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.71$26.81
09-12 18:44Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1051700547$544.05
09-09 16:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.53$147.35
09-09 13:33Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.052$3.04
09-09 13:32Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.45$864.85
09-07 18:52Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.42$118.96
09-07 18:45Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.22$111.89
09-07 18:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.049$0.25
09-03 16:33Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$23.77
09-03 16:33Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.023$116.84
09-03 16:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$349.74