rocky42024
0x391dd6c65880963a94da3fb2d31ef419fe5bdef1
- Realised P&L
- $24.2k
- Volume
- $11.27M
- Markets traded
- 6,994
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,994
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.175Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?
- +$1.4kat 0.183Timberwolves vs. Celtics
- +$1.3kat 0.075NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.3kat 0.220LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.2kat 0.277Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | SELL | 0.9611697143 | $33.64 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | SELL | 0.976 | $29.28 |
| 11-01 18:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.35 | $53.55 |
| 10-30 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-30 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $22.98 |
| 10-25 00:40 | Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 10-22 20:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.48 | $25.92 |
| 10-19 19:49 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $49.17 |
| 10-19 00:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.909 | $247.25 |
| 10-18 19:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.92 | $251.16 |
| 10-18 11:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.916 | $156.64 |
| 10-17 19:55 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | SELL | 0.701 | $11.92 |
| 10-17 01:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $99.50 |
| 10-16 20:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.918 | $105.57 |