rocky42024
0x391dd6c65880963a94da3fb2d31ef419fe5bdef1
- Realised P&L
- $22.7k
- Volume
- $10.95M
- Markets traded
- 6,562
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,562
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.175Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?
- +$1.4kat 0.183Timberwolves vs. Celtics
- +$1.3kat 0.075NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.3kat 0.220LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.2kat 0.277Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-11 16:06 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $27.00 |
| 09-09 11:53 | Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 09-09 09:31 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.428 | $11.98 |
| 09-09 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.36 | $20.16 |
| 09-08 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-07 21:28 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.581 | $62.17 |
| 09-07 21:23 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.581 | $99.93 |
| 09-05 18:43 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.85 |
| 09-04 07:51 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.784 | $156.80 |
| 09-04 03:18 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.166 | $19.92 |
| 09-04 00:06 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.626 | $6.26 |
| 08-31 16:45 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.507 | $38.02 |
| 08-30 20:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 08-28 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.93 |