KiruaTrading
0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
- Realised P&L
- $21.2k
- Volume
- $1.65M
- Markets traded
- 888
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded888
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.135Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$6.9kat 0.169Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$3.3kat 0.100Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.285Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$2.5kat 0.458Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:43 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.028 | $67.20 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.03 | $15.51 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 11-01 11:05 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 11-01 11:05 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 11-01 10:55 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.359 | $1.79 |
| 11-01 10:55 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 11-01 10:55 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $22.20 |
| 11-01 10:45 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 11-01 09:00 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 11-01 08:50 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 11-01 08:40 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.20 |
| 11-01 08:15 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.308 | $6.16 |
| 11-01 08:05 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.308 | $6.16 |