PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KiruaTrading

0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
385
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded385
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8711.000$1.0k+$134.73
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.7220.987$596.65+$159.95
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.2560.295$543.19+$70.94
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.9001.000$349.75+$34.82
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8901.000$299.85+$32.85
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.8400.855$187.67+$3.29
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8991.000$96.31+$9.70
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July? · Yes0.8290.925$79.53+$8.27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1480.065$75.84$96.78
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.4780.140$65.80$159.10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.3190.310$36.23$1.07
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.8621.000$26.25+$3.60
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No0.7970.975$25.69+$4.67
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.9100.943$23.57+$0.82
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.9000.935$23.38+$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:01Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.26$81.21
08-02 18:06Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.908782$45.44
08-02 18:01Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.87$43.50
08-02 17:56Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.87$43.50
08-02 17:56Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.1001038745$9.64
08-02 17:51Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.87$43.50
08-02 17:46Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.1$5.00
08-02 17:46Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.878998$43.95
08-02 17:41Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.09$4.50
08-02 17:41Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.89$44.50
08-02 17:36Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.08$4.00
08-02 17:36Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.9$45.00
08-02 14:31Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.2624$13.12
08-02 14:26Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.25$12.50
08-02 14:21Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.25$12.50