PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KiruaTrading

0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954

Realised P&L
$18.4k
Volume
$1.44M
Markets traded
635
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded635
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.8600.975$800.96+$94.07
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7080.820$789.21+$107.72
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.3570.450$603.22+$125.08
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · No0.3280.570$299.77+$127.15
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9100.966$299.31+$17.20
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · No0.8100.964$293.81+$46.75
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.6520.815$240.65+$48.12
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? · Yes0.6380.745$224.69+$32.18
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9350.975$216.99+$8.77
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · No0.4500.970$216.00+$115.74
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.5920.840$201.66+$59.65
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9160.930$170.93+$2.57
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.4540.685$149.15+$50.30
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.6770.815$122.24+$20.75
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1480.095$110.84$61.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:10Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.2$10.00
09-17 15:55Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.42$63.84
09-17 15:50Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.79$4.74
09-17 15:50Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.45$98.86
09-17 15:38Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.5499999834$13.24
09-17 15:13Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.36$10.80
09-17 15:03Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.89$356.00
09-17 14:58Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0899999991$5.08
09-17 14:40Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.39$19.50
09-17 14:40Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.392$19.60
09-17 14:40Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.3433333333$10.30
09-17 14:39Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.34$6.80
09-17 14:32Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.4$20.00
09-17 14:32Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.4318385733$23.49
09-17 14:23Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.7$6.30
Trader KiruaTrading · PolyBot Pro