KiruaTrading
0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 385
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded385
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.169Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$3.3kat 0.100Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.327Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.503Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.524Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:01 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $81.21 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.908782 | $45.44 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-02 17:56 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-02 17:56 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.1001038745 | $9.64 |
| 08-02 17:51 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.878998 | $43.95 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 08-02 17:36 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 17:36 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 14:31 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.2624 | $13.12 |
| 08-02 14:26 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |