KiruaTrading
0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
- Realised P&L
- $18.4k
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Markets traded
- 635
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded635
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.169Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$3.3kat 0.100Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$3.1kat 0.052Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.291Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$2.6kat 0.335Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:10 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 15:55 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.42 | $63.84 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.45 | $98.86 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5499999834 | $13.24 |
| 09-17 15:13 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.89 | $356.00 |
| 09-17 14:58 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $5.08 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.392 | $19.60 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.3433333333 | $10.30 |
| 09-17 14:39 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 14:32 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 14:32 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.4318385733 | $23.49 |
| 09-17 14:23 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.30 |