nhuaormallfens
0xe7db1585e94788292abce1576bfa7e36faa492a9
- Realised P&L
- $-44.77
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $368.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.729 | 0.755 | $310.84 | +$10.84 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.602 | 0.115 | $57.34 | −$242.66 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.86at 0.629Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$40.53at 0.777Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 03:04 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $140.00 |
| 09-01 02:49 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6196482721 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 03:23 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1172093004 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 06:27 | Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1006178267 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 06:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0457929636 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 06:19 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0412276115 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 05:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7286759952 | $300.00 |
| 08-25 06:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6016453516 | $300.00 |