PolyBot

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.007. down 0.128 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.005 to 0.230. 138 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.011240240
0.020247487
0.030268755
0.048116871
0.0495931,464
0.050301,494
0.104451,539
0.1051351,674
0.107301,704
0.1162201,924
0.129501,974
0.130682,042

Spread0.008Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003505505
0.0027361,241

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997505505
0.9987361,241

Spread0.008Mid0.993

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.989240240
0.980247487
0.970268755
0.952116871
0.9515931,464
0.950301,494
0.896451,539
0.8951351,674
0.893301,704
0.8842201,924
0.871501,974
0.870682,042

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes4,791.33
HippoMaroYes2,904.28
dedidancYes603.6
Numitus1994Yes573.03
BiggggggggYes441.39
molodoyyYes409.55
2B9SYes343.81
speculativefireYes270
PiEDawgYes237.72
LonelyScissorsYes192.77
mustbethewaterYes190
GingerMcKennaYes143.39
northdrawerYes115
HaradwaithYes100
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes85.84
pootytherewardfarmerYes66
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FYes64
0x11b2…6d33Yes50
.MentheYes50
AJSVYes41.27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:26:24BUYNo0.99730$29.91
15:26:24BUYNo0.9963841608169$168.59
15:26:24BUYNo0.99610$9.96
15:26:24BUYNo0.99685$84.66
15:25:36BUYNo0.99641$40.64
14:23:36BUYNo0.99640$39.84
14:23:36BUYNo0.99620$19.92
12:57:45BUYNo0.9982$1.82
10:53:42BUYNo0.99839$39.22
10:53:42BUYNo0.99840$39.92
10:53:42BUYNo0.99820$19.99
10:52:06BUYNo0.99820$19.96
07:23:34BUYNo0.9988$7.98
07:23:34BUYNo0.9985$4.99
07:23:34BUYNo0.9985$4.99
07:20:30BUYNo0.99826$26.08
04:33:13SELLYes0.011183874131$0.34
03:59:55BUYNo0.97824$23.59
03:59:54BUYNo0.97810$9.78
03:59:54SELLYes0.02250$1.10
03:55:21SELLYes0.02244$0.97
03:44:02SELLYes0.0225$0.11
03:43:41BUYNo0.97799998441$1.25
03:31:56BUYYes0.0191704049135$2.59
03:19:51BUYNo0.992105$104.26