HippoMaro
0xf81ac01fc933a29500f1b2b55edb251ce2f6eba3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $363.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,981
- Open portfolio
- $226.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,981
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.53at 0.374Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
- +$522.03at 0.438Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$285.73at 0.394US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$268.39at 0.223Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$253.03at 0.311Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3017083698 | $31.04 |
| 09-21 16:12 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $9.15 |
| 09-21 12:36 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3074177778 | $27.67 |
| 09-20 19:37 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0042060797 | $0.21 |
| 09-20 19:37 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-20 18:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-20 18:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 09-19 20:31 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 09-19 14:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.85 |
| 09-19 12:11 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.92 |
| 09-19 02:01 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.2196556667 | $52.72 |
| 09-19 01:59 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.3203908723 | $150.58 |
| 09-19 01:52 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.0453008569 | $50.43 |
| 09-19 01:41 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.40 |
| 09-19 01:40 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.0087952046 | $11.06 |