HippoMaro
0xf81ac01fc933a29500f1b2b55edb251ce2f6eba3
- Realised P&L
- $-776.25
- Volume
- $190.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,943
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,943
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.38at 0.223Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$253.03at 0.311Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?
- +$157.07at 0.447Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?
- +$147.20at 0.198Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$111.63at 0.090Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:04 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.25 |
| 08-03 17:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.28 | $88.46 |
| 08-03 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.28 | $147.43 |
| 08-03 17:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.41 | $164.00 |
| 08-02 20:07 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | SELL | 0.2649833333 | $15.90 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $21.60 |
| 08-01 19:39 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 08-01 16:34 | Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.54 |
| 07-31 18:49 | Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 07-31 18:29 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.08 |
| 07-31 17:07 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 07-30 22:10 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | SELL | 0.3465684446 | $139.37 |
| 07-30 19:57 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.2808625151 | $16.28 |
| 07-30 19:57 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 07-30 18:57 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.14 |