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Traders

HippoMaro

0xf81ac01fc933a29500f1b2b55edb251ce2f6eba3

Realised P&L
$-776.25
Volume
$190.9k
Markets traded
1,943
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,943
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.2680.230$376.33$61.42
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.4040.325$292.39$70.65
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.3790.425$256.20+$27.61
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · Yes0.2730.345$197.50+$41.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · Yes0.2800.225$189.55$46.33
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3470.480$151.07+$41.68
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3230.150$126.44$146.12
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · Yes0.3230.235$114.04$42.84
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · Yes0.2810.290$94.50+$2.98
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · Yes0.2780.250$65.30$7.38
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.335$22.94$1.57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0390.025$19.60$11.80
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1200.075$18.82$11.29
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5980.565$18.47$1.07
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · Yes0.1900.290$18.40+$6.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:04Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.25$7.25
08-03 17:46Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.28$88.46
08-03 17:45Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.28$147.43
08-03 17:22US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.41$164.00
08-02 20:07Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?SELL0.2649833333$15.90
08-02 14:53Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.54$21.60
08-01 19:39Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.43$21.50
08-01 16:34Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.59$4.54
07-31 18:49Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.19
07-31 18:29Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.011$1.08
07-31 17:07Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.001$0.60
07-30 22:10Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?SELL0.3465684446$139.37
07-30 19:57Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?BUY0.2808625151$16.28
07-30 19:57Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?BUY0.27$27.00
07-30 18:57Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?BUY0.26$10.14