PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bigggggggg

0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1

Realised P&L
$685.9k
Volume
$32.13M
Markets traded
10,127
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10,127
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.385$762.54+$366.42
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · No0.9800.982$672.53+$1.37
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.125$111.03+$89.88
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0350.155$109.96+$85.13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0100.065$104.72+$88.40
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.2070.565$65.92+$41.79
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.001$58.42$3.4k
Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.0830.085$55.38+$1.05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0100.154$49.09+$45.87
Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.9920.989$39.70$0.11
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$38.85$2.4k
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$36.89$2.3k
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$36.88$2.3k
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$36.88$2.3k
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$34.29$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:45No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$6.16
09-17 00:06Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.001$0.09
09-17 00:03Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.983$84.54
09-17 00:03Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9350986047$80.42
09-17 00:03Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9487813953$81.60
09-17 00:03Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.998$85.83
09-17 00:03Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.48$41.28
09-17 00:03Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9$77.40
09-17 00:03Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.995$85.57
09-17 00:03Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9874833721$84.92
09-17 00:03Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9940986047$85.49
09-16 23:50Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$61.08
09-16 23:26No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0166851654$2.66
09-16 21:232026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.9971555$5.0k
09-16 21:232026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.70255552$3.5k