Bigggggggg
0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1
- Realised P&L
- $685.9k
- Volume
- $32.13M
- Markets traded
- 10,127
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,127
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.3kat 0.261Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$90.2kat 0.243Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$58.4kat 0.780Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$54.7kat 0.217Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$45.5kat 0.720Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:45 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $6.16 |
| 09-17 00:06 | Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.983 | $84.54 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9350986047 | $80.42 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9487813953 | $81.60 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.998 | $85.83 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.48 | $41.28 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9 | $77.40 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.995 | $85.57 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9874833721 | $84.92 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9940986047 | $85.49 |
| 09-16 23:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $61.08 |
| 09-16 23:26 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0166851654 | $2.66 |
| 09-16 21:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.9971555 | $5.0k |
| 09-16 21:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.70255552 | $3.5k |