PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dedidanc

0x11f8a22001686b0e40687c4c37c91e3428a0ed31

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$419.9k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$26.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.6560.585$1.9k−$225.77
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October? · Yes0.9100.985$1.7k+$125.43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · No0.5870.846$1.6k+$497.65
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? · No0.6500.890$1.6k+$423.72
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.4920.519$1.5k+$77.84
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.4850.916$1.3k+$589.90
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8310.820$1.1k−$14.57
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.9000.951$1.0k+$55.19
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026? · No0.9030.998$992.45+$94.43
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.8350.865$867.98+$30.09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7630.940$832.79+$156.94
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.5780.545$702.01−$42.58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5000.635$684.53+$145.38
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.1330.992$564.08+$488.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · No0.5440.893$554.71+$216.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 01:49Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?BUY0.16$11.52
10-31 01:48Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9329999987$45.72
10-31 01:48Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.925$85.10
10-31 01:44Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.942$18.84
10-29 17:28Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?BUY0.9030177195$896.42
10-29 17:19Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2869769476$65.61
10-29 15:53Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?BUY0.7628582877$675.85
10-29 04:30Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.66$33.00
10-29 04:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.46$45.08
10-28 19:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.79625$63.70
10-28 19:55Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.705215311$88.43
10-28 19:54Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$47.00
10-28 19:45Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699322698$4.6k
10-28 19:43Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.7566226415$80.20
10-28 19:43Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.7520695772$76.31