dedidanc
0x11f8a22001686b0e40687c4c37c91e3428a0ed31
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $419.9k
- Markets traded
- 337
- Open portfolio
- $26.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded337
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.699Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.762Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.097Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.541Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.111Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 01:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.52 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9329999987 | $45.72 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $85.10 |
| 10-31 01:44 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.942 | $18.84 |
| 10-29 17:28 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9030177195 | $896.42 |
| 10-29 17:19 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2869769476 | $65.61 |
| 10-29 15:53 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7628582877 | $675.85 |
| 10-29 04:30 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 10-29 04:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.46 | $45.08 |
| 10-28 19:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.79625 | $63.70 |
| 10-28 19:55 | Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.705215311 | $88.43 |
| 10-28 19:54 | Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-28 19:45 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699322698 | $4.6k |
| 10-28 19:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.7566226415 | $80.20 |
| 10-28 19:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.7520695772 | $76.31 |