PolyBot

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Traders

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02

Realised P&L
$29.7k
Volume
$3.37M
Markets traded
57,531
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded57,531
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3200.275$1.1k−$175.32
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · No0.6400.544$635.91−$112.89
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.5860.991$572.60+$233.87
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2110.310$499.01+$159.09
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? · No0.3650.464$493.97+$105.59
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · No0.3280.335$407.14+$8.39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2190.201$354.82−$32.11
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? · No0.9270.959$323.37+$10.61
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1130.193$319.58+$131.89
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? · Yes0.9760.994$294.77+$5.22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1740.075$123.32−$162.37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 2? · No0.8750.875$82.66−$0.00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0950.036$59.42−$98.08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.1030.740$50.65+$43.61
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.1780.195$47.45+$4.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 07:54Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?BUY0.18$0.61
11-02 07:51Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?BUY0.34$52.52
11-02 07:50Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.999$100.35
11-02 07:46Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 2?BUY0.007$0.04
11-02 07:44Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.939$1.42
11-02 07:42Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2?BUY0.991$10.87
11-02 07:38Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3?BUY0.56$11.39
11-02 07:37Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.79$4.10
11-02 07:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.99025$19.80
11-02 07:32Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.9870212032$20.02
11-02 07:30Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.937$32.28
11-02 07:28Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?BUY0.9967361268$35.20
11-02 07:24Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2?BUY0.998$46.27
11-02 07:24Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.183$2.56
11-02 07:23Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 2?BUY0.017$0.09