0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $1.58M
- Markets traded
- 24,417
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded24,417
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.019Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.003Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
- +$1.1kat 0.003Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.1kat 0.054Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
- +$688.53at 0.019Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.73 |
| 08-03 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6301380671 | $3.19 |
| 08-03 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8000744417 | $6.45 |
| 08-03 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.50 |
| 08-03 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.88 |
| 08-03 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 08-03 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.27 |
| 08-03 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $16.74 |
| 08-03 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.08 |
| 08-03 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |