PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$1.58M
Markets traded
24,417
Open portfolio
$9.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded24,417
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0001.000$363.85+$363.85
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.21
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0001.000$363.85+$363.85
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9991.000$363.85+$0.18
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9990.999$363.48$0.18
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0000.999$363.48+$363.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:49Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.985$4.73
08-03 10:49Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.6301380671$3.19
08-03 10:47Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.04$0.20
08-03 10:43Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.8000744417$6.45
08-03 10:38Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.999$5.00
08-03 10:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4?BUY0.75$10.50
08-03 10:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.38$1.88
08-03 10:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.97$4.99
08-03 10:34Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.94$4.70
08-03 10:29Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.008$0.05
08-03 10:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.04$0.09
08-03 10:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?BUY0.25$1.27
08-03 10:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.93$16.74
08-03 10:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4?BUY0.81$8.08
08-03 10:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.002$0.04