0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
- Realised P&L
- $29.7k
- Volume
- $3.37M
- Markets traded
- 57,531
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,531
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.6kat 0.317Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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- +$10.3kat 0.729Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$9.4kat 0.474Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$8.9kat 0.010Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.61 |
| 11-02 07:51 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.34 | $52.52 |
| 11-02 07:50 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.35 |
| 11-02 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.939 | $1.42 |
| 11-02 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.87 |
| 11-02 07:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.39 |
| 11-02 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.10 |
| 11-02 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.99025 | $19.80 |
| 11-02 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9870212032 | $20.02 |
| 11-02 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.937 | $32.28 |
| 11-02 07:28 | Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine? | BUY | 0.9967361268 | $35.20 |
| 11-02 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $46.27 |
| 11-02 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.183 | $2.56 |
| 11-02 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |