LonelyScissors
0x460bdf120d096cb6acef687cc984770288079894
- Realised P&L
- $167.31
- Volume
- $512.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,069
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,069
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.20at 0.020Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be under 5.3?
- +$56.34at 0.019Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?
- +$45.83at 0.024Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-30?
- +$42.10at 0.070Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?
- +$41.93at 0.120Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 12:58 | Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 12:57 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.62 |
| 10-10 12:57 | Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.6B? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.99 |
| 10-10 12:57 | Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.70 |
| 10-10 10:59 | Will Kerala Blasters FC win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.31 | $7.08 |
| 10-10 10:44 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.06 |
| 10-10 08:13 | Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 06:57 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.63 |
| 10-10 06:57 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.29 |
| 10-10 06:29 | Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.43 |
| 10-10 04:58 | Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.24 |
| 10-10 03:28 | Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-10 00:57 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 10-10 00:57 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.13 |
| 10-10 00:57 | Will Isaias peak at Category 4? | SELL | 0.969 | $4.45 |