PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LonelyScissors

0x460bdf120d096cb6acef687cc984770288079894

Realised P&L
$167.31
Volume
$512.9k
Markets traded
2,069
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,069
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0010.025$51.00+$49.00
Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.0100.134$22.69+$20.99
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.1620.303$20.61+$9.61
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1100.279$20.29+$12.29
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.0500.180$19.80+$14.30
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-25? · Yes0.2500.580$18.56+$10.56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0010.041$18.45+$18.00
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · OpenAI0.0810.371$18.32+$14.32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October? · No0.2360.405$18.00+$7.50
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.2250.520$17.01+$9.65
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.0010.008$16.00+$14.00
Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.540$15.99+$8.00
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? · No0.2700.615$15.94+$8.94
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20? · No0.0390.135$15.75+$11.18
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5640.835$14.80+$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 12:58Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?SELL0.07$4.00
10-10 12:57Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B?SELL0.41$0.62
10-10 12:57Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.6B?SELL0.63$2.99
10-10 12:57Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?SELL0.76$3.70
10-10 10:59Will Kerala Blasters FC win on 2026-10-11?SELL0.31$7.08
10-10 10:44Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B?SELL0.34$2.06
10-10 08:13Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?SELL0.8$4.00
10-10 06:57Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?SELL0.25$0.63
10-10 06:57Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?SELL0.74$3.29
10-10 06:29Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.26$8.43
10-10 04:58Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.27$3.24
10-10 03:28Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.18$1.80
10-10 00:57Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?SELL0.03$0.03
10-10 00:57Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.25$1.13
10-10 00:57Will Isaias peak at Category 4?SELL0.969$4.45