0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
- Realised P&L
- $-40.1k
- Volume
- $15.56M
- Markets traded
- 6,139
- Open portfolio
- $455.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,139
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.112Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$2.0kat 0.075Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.8kat 0.031Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$1.6kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$925.85at 0.454Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.55 |
| 09-14 00:44 | Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.35 |
| 09-13 19:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 09-12 22:19 | Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-12 03:40 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.64 |
| 09-11 09:48 | Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-10 12:04 | Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-10 12:02 | Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-09 21:08 | Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.35 |
| 09-09 17:26 | Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-09 17:15 | Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-09 17:14 | Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 09-09 17:13 | Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-09 14:24 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.82105 | $4.93 |
| 09-08 13:35 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.08 |