0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
- Realised P&L
- $-82.8k
- Volume
- $18.31M
- Markets traded
- 12,868
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,868
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.950Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$4.5kat 0.279Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.6kat 0.200Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
- +$2.8kat 0.112Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$2.8kat 0.330Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:17 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.80 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $122.10 |
| 11-01 19:04 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $71.39 |
| 11-01 18:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.10 |
| 11-01 18:08 | Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.88 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8928169014 | $63.39 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.20 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 11-01 16:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 11-01 16:35 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $28.59 |
| 11-01 16:05 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 15:57 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.5775345168 | $23.42 |
| 11-01 15:57 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |