0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.3k
- Volume
- $15.18M
- Markets traded
- 4,314
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,314
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.112Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$2.1kat 0.075Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.8kat 0.031Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$1.6kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$960.40at 0.442Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:59 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.136 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 02:02 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.46 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.6659090909 | $14.65 |
| 08-02 20:45 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.54 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.611 | $1.23 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.33 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $58.80 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.901 | $5.27 |
| 08-02 14:09 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.13 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 08-02 11:30 | Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 10:52 | Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | SELL | 0.936 | $29.02 |
| 08-02 04:55 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.19 | $7.58 |
| 08-02 03:55 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.31 |