PolyBot

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Traders

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f

Realised P&L
$-40.1k
Volume
$15.56M
Markets traded
6,139
Open portfolio
$455.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,139
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election? · No0.8100.745$183.27$15.99
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.8800.905$70.59+$1.95
Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? · No0.8800.735$23.52$4.64
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8300.675$20.25$4.65
Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? · No0.3100.175$17.98$13.87
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · No0.0800.025$16.88$36.07
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? · Yes0.2290.249$15.72+$1.29
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · No0.7000.655$10.48$0.72
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · No0.1300.115$7.25$0.95
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · No0.4200.345$6.90$1.50
Will Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election? · No0.1900.075$6.67$10.23
Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.4800.140$6.42$15.60
Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? · No0.1000.032$5.53$12.02
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? · No0.2100.085$5.37$7.89
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? · Yes0.1000.032$4.04$8.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?SELL0.06$0.55
09-14 00:44Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?SELL0.51$1.35
09-13 19:02Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?SELL0.022$0.11
09-12 22:19Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.002$0.02
09-12 03:40Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.77$0.64
09-11 09:48Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?SELL0.002$0.04
09-10 12:04Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
09-10 12:02Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
09-09 21:08Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?SELL0.35$0.35
09-09 17:26Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.002$0.01
09-09 17:15Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.002$0.01
09-09 17:14Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.35$1.05
09-09 17:13Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?SELL0.002$0.02
09-09 14:24Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.82105$4.93
09-08 13:35Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?SELL0.021$0.08