PiEDawg
0xcf43b3b62f7881c831e2d2370b870f5e8a08b321
- Realised P&L
- $21.9k
- Volume
- $829.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,622
- Open portfolio
- $65.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,622
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.235Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$5.4kat 0.190Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
- +$3.1kat 0.240Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.824Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.7kat 0.210Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:25 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.28 | $2.12 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.42 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.6799999852 | $11.04 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $12.16 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.27 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.18 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.31 |