PolyBot

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Traders

0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33

0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33

Realised P&L
$314.54
Volume
$406.6k
Markets traded
4,168
Open portfolio
$178.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,168
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.035$3.50+$3.40
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $521,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0010.016$1.60+$1.50
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0010.012$1.20+$1.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0010.011$1.15+$1.05
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat? · Yes0.0010.022$1.10+$1.05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election? · Yes0.0010.011$1.10+$1.00
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.011$1.10+$1.00
Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0010.011$1.07+$0.97
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0010.010$1.00+$0.90
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0010.009$0.95+$0.85
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3% or more? · Yes0.0010.009$0.90+$0.80
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0010.018$0.90+$0.85
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? · Yes0.0010.009$0.85+$0.75
Will SB Energy's market cap be at least $125B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0010.017$0.85+$0.80
Will Karen Castrejón Trujillo win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.009$0.85+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 17:24Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?SELL0.285$2.08
10-04 12:25Will Scott Kupor be Trump's AI czar?SELL0.025$1.25
07-31 12:23Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?BUY0.001$0.60
07-31 00:40Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.001$0.11
07-28 10:19Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$0.01
07-28 10:19Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.04
07-28 10:19Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week?BUY0.001$0.57
07-28 10:19Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?BUY0.001$0.35
07-11 11:27UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.032$0.06
07-10 21:29Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchSELL0.21$0.75
07-05 08:36Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$68.99
06-27 16:50Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.037$1.83
06-21 08:59Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.11$1.73
06-19 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.504$4.84
06-17 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.17$1.63