PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33

Realised P&L
$89.53
Volume
$202.9k
Markets traded
2,058
Open portfolio
$88.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,058
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.013$1.25+$1.15
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.023$1.15+$1.10
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.011$1.10+$1.00
Will United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections? · No0.0010.010$1.00+$0.90
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.020$0.98+$0.93
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.009$0.95+$0.85
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.018$0.88+$0.82
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.018$0.88+$0.82
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0010.009$0.85+$0.75
Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.010$0.83+$0.75
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.008$0.80+$0.70
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.015$0.78+$0.73
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.0010.022$0.75+$0.72
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.007$0.75+$0.65
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0010.007$0.70+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:23Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?BUY0.001$0.60
07-31 00:40Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.001$0.11
07-28 10:19Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$0.01
07-28 10:19Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.04
07-28 10:19Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week?BUY0.001$0.57
07-28 10:19Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?BUY0.001$0.35
07-11 11:27UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.032$0.06
07-10 21:29Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchSELL0.21$0.75
07-05 08:36Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$68.99
06-27 16:50Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.037$1.83
06-21 08:59Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.11$1.73
06-19 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.504$4.84
06-17 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.17$1.63
06-15 20:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?SELL0.09$0.51
06-14 20:46Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY0.28$1.60