PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x11b2a5df5f36f8573b1c3408540a3c812b7b6d33

Realised P&L
$-10.19
Volume
$84.1k
Markets traded
971
Open portfolio
$55.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded971
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.7% or more in July? · Yes0.0010.010$20.00+$18.00
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$9.87+$8.08
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.003$6.00+$4.00
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.0010.003$6.00+$4.00
Will Taofeek Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? · Yes0.0010.004$2.75+$2.14
Will "My Daughter's Father: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0010.003$1.47+$0.88
Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0010.002$1.38+$0.46
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? · Yes0.0010.004$1.17+$0.83
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Scott Schwab win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will "Elite Force: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0010.003$0.91+$0.55
Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.0010.003$0.84+$0.51
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.0010.004$0.78+$0.55
Will "Furious 7" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.0010.004$0.60+$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:23Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?BUY0.001$0.60
07-31 00:40Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.001$0.11
07-28 10:19Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$0.01
07-28 10:19Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.04
07-28 10:19Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week?BUY0.001$0.57
07-28 10:19Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?BUY0.001$0.35
07-11 11:27UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.032$0.06
07-10 21:29Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchSELL0.21$0.75
07-05 08:36Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.029$68.99
06-27 16:50Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.037$1.83
06-21 08:59Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.11$1.73
06-19 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.504$4.84
06-17 01:14Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.17$1.63
06-15 20:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?SELL0.09$0.51
06-14 20:46Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY0.28$1.60