PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.26 to 0.59. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.344040
0.35175215
0.3661276
0.3757333
0.3960393
0.40230623
0.8137660
0.826666
0.8935701
0.9020721
0.9514735
0.963751,110

Spread0.01Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33178178
0.3292270
0.3162332
0.2646377
0.25203580
0.1937617
0.0319636
0.0230666
0.0142709

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67178178
0.6892270
0.6962332
0.7446377
0.75203580
0.8137617
0.9719636
0.9830666
0.9942709

Spread0.01Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.664040
0.65175215
0.6461276
0.6357333
0.6160393
0.60230623
0.1937660
0.186666
0.1135701
0.1020721
0.0514735
0.043751,110

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
mintableYes136.03
AboveLookUpYes115
AJSVYes89.77
ForchYes21
pootytherewardfarmerYes20.37
coldreserveYes20
CarabaoYes20
2B9SYes20
palochkaYes5
NoTeacherNo189.68
GuyFromTinderNo157
lissartterNo26.93
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo22
molodoyyNo20
iminmymomscarbroombroomNo8.06
dgfd76No6.77
_test_i075_CAND_11b7No5
johnthekNo5
superaiapiNo1.92
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329No1.77

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:35:45SELLYes0.33224489898$32.56
18:31:59BUYNo0.6368$42.84
18:31:50BUYNo0.6235$21.51
18:31:41BUYNo0.6287$53.93
18:05:14BUYNo0.627$4.20
18:03:35BUYNo0.625$3.10
18:03:30BUYNo0.61999996288$5.00
18:03:29BUYNo0.625$3.10
18:03:27BUYNo0.61999994792$1.19
18:03:27BUYNo0.61999985122$1.00
18:03:26SELLNo0.620$12.00
17:51:35SELLYes0.3724$9.01
06:41:45BUYYes0.5513495037136$75.00
06:39:09BUYYes0.51115$58.65
06:22:44BUYNo0.5170$35.70
21:14:33BUYNo0.532$16.23
21:14:29BUYYes0.418977879566$27.46
19:14:02BUYNo0.575$2.85
16:53:57SELLNo0.4720$9.40
14:44:15BUYNo0.5322$11.66
13:44:03BUYNo0.5516$8.55
13:23:11BUYNo0.520$10.00
13:17:14SELLYes0.5320$10.80
12:16:59BUYNo0.4620$9.20
12:16:57BUYNo0.4620$9.20