PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5fc6fe2721bef3cdd69466f343f301c842a99561

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
808
Open portfolio
$211.05

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded808
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million? · No0.6570.625$30.44−$1.56
Will Booking (BKNG) Q3 gross bookings be above $57B? · No0.7520.865$26.23+$3.43
Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by November 30? · Yes0.2660.295$23.60+$2.30
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? · Yes0.2000.330$12.87+$5.07
Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by December 31? · Yes0.7660.755$9.85−$0.15
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4000.545$8.18+$2.17
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6200.815$6.57+$1.57
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? · Yes0.1400.330$4.95+$2.85
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of January 2027? · Yes0.1800.290$4.47+$1.69
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5800.500$4.31−$0.69
Government shutdown by December 31? · No0.5500.560$3.67+$0.07
Over $20M committed to the over.computer public sale? · No0.4520.390$3.45−$0.55
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million? · No0.4400.490$3.34+$0.34
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? · No0.4700.765$3.26+$1.26
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November? · Yes0.3900.395$3.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 19:35Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
11-02 19:18US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.2899999884$3.00
11-02 19:15Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
11-02 19:13Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?SELL0.15$0.45
11-02 19:12Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?SELL0.2$2.95
11-02 19:00Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999808$1.50
11-02 18:58Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.32$2.00
11-02 18:27Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?BUY0.64$2.00
11-02 18:21Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.85$2.00
11-02 18:19Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November?BUY0.3899999844$3.00
11-02 17:45Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8299999967$2.50
11-02 12:55Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?SELL0.4$9.52
11-02 11:06Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?SELL0.4249482759$12.32
11-02 11:04Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?SELL0.29$14.50
11-01 21:46Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?BUY0.11$5.50