palochka
0x5fc6fe2721bef3cdd69466f343f301c842a99561
- Realised P&L
- $-268.55
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $91.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.22at 0.714Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
- +$18.88at 0.389Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
- +$13.75at 0.421Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$12.47at 0.318Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$9.62at 0.694Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:48 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 10:28 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.37 |
| 09-18 07:42 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 07:27 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:13 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-18 07:12 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-18 07:11 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.658 | $9.48 |
| 09-17 16:20 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.3739999708 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:04 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.957 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:54 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | SELL | 0.911 | $1.13 |
| 09-17 08:50 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.3049999558 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:46 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:34 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.5959999464 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |