AboveLookUp
0xe720eadd7ab1cf02ef59e0684df1d2c78a01137c
- Realised P&L
- $-45.36
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $121.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.984 | $49.20 | +$29.70 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.335 | $38.52 | −$16.73 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.135 | $33.40 | −$30.05 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.79 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.19at 0.288Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$12.83at 0.883Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$7.03at 0.940Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.941Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
- +$4.33at 0.952Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:35 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.332244898 | $32.56 |
| 10-02 21:34 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.40 |
| 10-02 06:40 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2883010515 | $31.26 |
| 10-02 06:39 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $58.65 |
| 10-02 06:08 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 10-01 21:14 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4189778795 | $27.46 |
| 10-01 20:56 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2330674389 | $53.12 |
| 09-26 03:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $85.50 |
| 09-26 03:21 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $8.83 |
| 09-25 22:38 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.50 |
| 09-21 23:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.6893333333 | $13.57 |
| 09-20 21:19 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0170271045 | $1.19 |
| 09-20 21:18 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 09-19 01:09 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.73 |
| 09-19 01:03 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |