NoTeacher
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $192.4k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.79at 0.129Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$343.95at 0.155Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
- +$174.14at 0.575Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
- +$174.09at 0.076Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$158.28at 0.409Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:18 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-20 17:55 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-20 17:11 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.692 | $3.46 |
| 09-20 17:09 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.59 |
| 09-20 17:00 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 17:00 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $19.86 |
| 09-20 17:00 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 09-20 17:00 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $151.83 |
| 09-20 16:59 | Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $207.58 |
| 09-20 16:51 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.82 | $113.73 |
| 09-20 14:16 | Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.35 |
| 09-20 13:50 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $11.07 |
| 09-20 11:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.10 |
| 09-20 11:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.42 |
| 09-20 09:58 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $0.13 |