NoTeacher
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
- Realised P&L
- $-167.52
- Volume
- $102.4k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.22at 0.074Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$178.28at 0.565Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
- +$134.26at 0.802Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
- +$130.60at 0.517Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
- +$127.27at 0.726Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:12 | Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.188 | $2.07 |
| 08-03 12:39 | Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 05:55 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.211 | $2.05 |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? | SELL | 0.41 | $9.43 |
| 08-03 05:48 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.80 |
| 08-03 05:48 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 08-03 05:47 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $36.00 |
| 08-03 05:40 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $11.24 |
| 08-03 05:37 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.58 |
| 08-03 05:29 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.98 |
| 08-03 05:26 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 08-03 05:19 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $1.88 |
| 08-03 05:19 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $103.20 |