PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NoTeacher

0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$192.4k
Markets traded
390
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded390
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.5500.810$513.02+$164.35
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.9110.972$425.74+$26.56
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7440.698$310.26$20.51
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6680.685$264.16+$6.41
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.8660.952$235.24+$21.24
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.4870.705$211.28+$65.42
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7930.910$201.60+$25.95
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4530.775$116.38+$48.38
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.6700.620$115.61$9.32
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8260.867$76.81+$3.64
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.7600.655$65.50$10.50
Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31? · No0.9100.945$47.25+$1.75
Amazon announces a training pause by October 31? · No0.9100.905$46.16$0.25
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? · No0.8400.808$31.62$1.23
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31? · No0.9100.945$18.99+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:18Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
09-20 17:55Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
09-20 17:11Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.692$3.46
09-20 17:09Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?BUY0.94$37.59
09-20 17:00Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$25.00
09-20 17:00Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$19.86
09-20 17:00Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.53$21.20
09-20 17:00Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$151.83
09-20 16:59Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.81$207.58
09-20 16:51Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.82$113.73
09-20 14:16Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?BUY0.04$1.35
09-20 13:50Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$11.07
09-20 11:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$5.10
09-20 11:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$8.42
09-20 09:58Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.24$0.13