0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329
0x489a6942253203fd0c5e786c230419a02840fff2
- Realised P&L
- $-95.18
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 838
- Open portfolio
- $341.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded838
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.90at 0.147Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
- +$13.66at 0.203Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
- +$12.14at 0.136Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
- +$9.16at 0.513Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
- +$8.93at 0.185Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 12:05 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.72 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.88 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.98 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.90 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.43 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.31 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.18 |
| 07-12 12:05 | French election called by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.18 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.623 | $0.22 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.08 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Aljamain Sterling fight Alexander Volkanovski next? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.05 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.05 |