0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329
0x489a6942253203fd0c5e786c230419a02840fff2
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $127.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,082
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,082
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.60at 0.034Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?
- +$58.70at 0.203Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?
- +$43.50at 0.131Will Karmine Corp Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?
- +$43.50at 0.127Will Dylan Larkin record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
- +$42.46at 0.277Will Elias Pettersson record 100+ points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:22 | Will Mauricio Dubón win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 10-31 06:40 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.11 |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.129 | $5.16 |
| 10-26 20:28 | Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 10-25 19:40 | Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 10-25 08:51 | Will Mauricio Pochettino leave the USMNT before the 2027 Gold Cup? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.44 |
| 10-22 15:39 | Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.89 |
| 10-22 06:16 | Will Christian McCaffrey have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.72 |
| 10-20 01:29 | Will Omonia finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-17 23:57 | Will Garrett Wilson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-14 17:58 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 15:27 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 15+ goals in the 2026-27 season? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Will Kenneth Walker III have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.72 |
| 10-02 01:33 | Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.335 | $3.19 |
| 09-30 09:39 | Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.18 |