0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329
0x489a6942253203fd0c5e786c230419a02840fff2
- Realised P&L
- $234.99
- Volume
- $70.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,798
- Open portfolio
- $481.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,798
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.70at 0.066Will Marta Kostyuk Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?
- +$33.50at 0.230Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
- +$21.28at 0.051Will Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?
- +$20.20at 0.035Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
- +$19.88at 0.193Will Angela Murray come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:03 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $13.65 |
| 09-01 01:08 | Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder? | BUY | 0.0197863333 | $0.59 |
| 08-31 12:52 | Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.11 |
| 08-23 12:21 | Will Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $15.20 |
| 08-20 18:31 | Will Trump say "Thomas Jefferson" in August? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-20 17:05 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 08-07 14:15 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.72 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.88 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.98 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.90 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.43 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.31 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.18 |