Forch
0x6ca0cfe4ed627cb4ebe0193e69de9823a007e59d
- Realised P&L
- $-413.88
- Volume
- $421.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,304
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,304
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$707.17at 0.505EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$629.65at 0.546Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
- +$358.99at 0.837Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
- +$300.15at 0.080Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:28 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $46.74 |
| 11-01 05:46 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.16 |
| 10-30 14:16 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.63 | $55.44 |
| 10-30 13:09 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.67 |
| 10-30 12:39 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $141.05 |
| 10-30 08:18 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $96.92 |
| 10-30 08:18 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $96.92 |
| 10-30 08:18 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $99.86 |
| 10-30 08:18 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $99.86 |
| 10-30 08:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9793030303 | $96.95 |
| 10-30 08:17 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $35.28 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $99.96 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $117.72 |
| 10-30 08:15 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.917 | $203.57 |
| 10-29 10:53 | Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $26.04 |